Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 7.811745e-05 0.000093 0.000109 0.000128 0.000148 0.000170 0.000195
2025-02-02 6.031993e-05 0.000080 0.000102 0.000130 0.000162 0.000198 0.000240
2025-02-09 4.887631e-05 0.000070 0.000096 0.000128 0.000167 0.000212 0.000268
2025-02-16 4.246995e-05 0.000066 0.000095 0.000133 0.000181 0.000237 0.000307
2025-02-23 3.644110e-05 0.000060 0.000092 0.000134 0.000188 0.000253 0.000335
2025-03-02 2.906913e-05 0.000052 0.000084 0.000129 0.000187 0.000259 0.000353
2025-03-09 2.376055e-05 0.000046 0.000079 0.000125 0.000188 0.000267 0.000370
2025-03-16 2.005116e-05 0.000042 0.000075 0.000125 0.000192 0.000278 0.000393
2025-03-23 1.739277e-05 0.000039 0.000074 0.000125 0.000198 0.000292 0.000418
2025-03-30 1.462232e-05 0.000036 0.000070 0.000124 0.000201 0.000302 0.000439
2025-04-06 1.184221e-05 0.000032 0.000066 0.000121 0.000201 0.000307 0.000453
2025-04-13 1.022888e-05 0.000030 0.000064 0.000122 0.000206 0.000319 0.000477
2025-04-20 7.532342e-06 0.000025 0.000059 0.000116 0.000203 0.000322 0.000490
2025-04-27 6.247446e-06 0.000023 0.000057 0.000117 0.000210 0.000339 0.000521
2025-05-04 4.930203e-06 0.000021 0.000055 0.000116 0.000213 0.000350 0.000545
2025-05-11 4.354101e-06 0.000021 0.000056 0.000121 0.000224 0.000372 0.000584
2025-05-18 3.590244e-06 0.000019 0.000054 0.000122 0.000231 0.000387 0.000615
2025-05-25 2.478241e-06 0.000016 0.000050 0.000117 0.000228 0.000389 0.000626
2025-06-01 1.744391e-06 0.000014 0.000047 0.000114 0.000227 0.000394 0.000643
2025-06-08 1.286698e-06 0.000013 0.000045 0.000113 0.000230 0.000405 0.000666
2025-06-15 9.908359e-07 0.000012 0.000044 0.000114 0.000236 0.000419 0.000695
2025-06-22 6.884103e-07 0.000010 0.000042 0.000113 0.000238 0.000428 0.000717
2025-06-29 4.158872e-07 0.000009 0.000039 0.000109 0.000237 0.000432 0.000731